A Reforma nationwide poll published 5/29 shows the PRI holding a 37% -31% lead over the PAN in the run up to the July 5 Chamber of Deputies election, with the PRD trailing at 16%. Among the minor parties, the Green Party (PVEM) has 6% and the Workers’ Party (PT) has 4%. The vote shares exclude the 25% of respondents who are undecided. The dominance of the two major parties increases if only probable voters are considered, while the spread between the top two remains about constant.
Of those surveyed, only 41.7% said they would definitely vote if the elections were held today. Only 28% of respondents said they believed the campaign messages of the parties, and 69% said they did not. In terms of the credibility of the parties, 67% agreed with the statement that the campaigns were based more on attacks than proposals, and a similar share said that they would vote for the party they considered ‘less bad.’